Abstract

Recurrent reproductive failure (RRF), such as recurrent pregnancy loss and repeated implantation failure, is characterized by complex etiologies and particularly associated with diverse maternal factors. It is currently believed that RRF is closely associated with the maternal environment, which is, in turn, affected by complex immune factors. Without the use of automated tools, it is often difficult to assess the interaction and synergistic effects of the various immune factors on the pregnancy outcome. As a result, the application of Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) has been explored in the field of assisted reproductive technology (ART). In this study, we reviewed studies on the use of A.I. to develop prediction models for pregnancy outcomes of patients who underwent ART treatment. A limited amount of models based on genetic markers or common indices have been established for prediction of pregnancy outcome of patients with RRF. In this study, we applied A.I. to analyze the medical information of patients with RRF, including immune indicators. The entire clinical samples set (561 samples) was divided into two sets: 90% of the set was used for training and 10% for testing. Different data panels were established to predict pregnancy outcomes at four different gestational nodes, including biochemical pregnancy, clinical pregnancy, ongoing pregnancy, and live birth, respectively. The prediction models of pregnancy outcomes were established using sparse coding, based on six data panels: basic patient characteristics, hormone levels, autoantibodies, peripheral immunology, endometrial immunology, and embryo parameters. The six data panels covered 64 variables. In terms of biochemical pregnancy prediction, the area under curve (AUC) using the endometrial immunology panel was the largest (AUC = 0.766, accuracy: 73.0%). The AUC using the autoantibodies panel was the largest in predicting clinical pregnancy (AUC = 0.688, accuracy: 78.4%), ongoing pregnancy (AUC = 0.802, accuracy: 75.0%), and live birth (AUC = 0.909, accuracy: 89.7%). Combining the data panels did not significantly enhance the effect on prediction of all the four pregnancy outcomes. These results give us a new insight on reproductive immunology and establish the basis for assisting clinicians to plan more precise and personalized diagnosis and treatment for patients with RRF.

Highlights

  • Pregnancy is a complex biological process that poses a great challenge to the maternal immune system

  • Other in vitro fertilization (IVF)-related data panels contributing to the pregnancy outcome, including basic characteristics, hormones, and embryo panels were considered

  • A machine learning model was developed in this study for the prediction of the pregnancy outcomes for the patients with reproductive failure (RRF) at any gestational period, namely, biochemical pregnancy, clinical pregnancy, ongoing pregnancy, and live birth

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Summary

Introduction

Pregnancy is a complex biological process that poses a great challenge to the maternal immune system. The abnormal frequencies and functions of maternal immune cells are associated with reproductive failure, especially in cases of recurrent reproductive failure (RRF), such as recurrent pregnancy loss (RPL) and repeated implantation failure (RIF) [3]. In the conventional medical procedure, the patients with RRF are assessed and given a score, based on biomarkers that have been demonstrated to be of relevance to the disease. The treatment for the patients is based on the classification or scores [4, 5]. The etiologies of RRF are highly heterogeneous and the complex underlying interactions between the biomarkers make the creation of a personalized treatment strategy based on all known parameters impossible for the clinicians. The design of a model that can accurately predict the outcome of treatment methods would be highly beneficial to the clinicians, enabling the choice of lower-risk treatments, alleviating the financial burden of the treatment cost and reducing treatment time

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