Using Bayesian Network to Estimate the Value of Decisions within the Context of Value-Based Software Engineering: A Multiple Case Study

Abstract

Context: Companies must make a paradigm shift in which both short- and long-term value aspects are employed to guide their decision-making. Such need is pressing in innovative industries, such as ICT, and is the core of Value-based Software Engineering (VBSE). Objective: This paper details three case studies where value estimation models using Bayesian Network (BN) were built and validated. These estimation models were based upon value-based decisions made by key stakeholders in the contexts of feature selection, test cases execution prioritization, and user interfaces design selection. Methods: All three case studies were carried out according to a Framework called VALUE — improVing decision-mAking reLating to software-intensive prodUcts and sErvices development. This framework includes a mixed-methods approach, comprising several steps to build and validate company-specific value estimation models. Such a building process uses as input data key stakeholders’ decisions (gathered using the Value tool), plus additional input from key stakeholders. Results: Three value estimation BN models were built and validated, and the feedback received from the participating stakeholders was very positive. Conclusions: We detail the building and validation of three value estimation BN models, using a combination of data from past decision-making meetings and also input from key stakeholders.