Abstract

World demand for livestock products is likely to increase in coming decades but the cost of production could escalate faster than the price due to competition for land, water, grain and fertiliser and the effects of climate change and its mitigation. To remain competitive for these resources, livestock agriculture has to dramatically increase in efficiency of production. Genetic gain is one mechanism to achieve increased efficiency and there is the opportunity to utilise the scientific advances in genomics. Three ways in which genomics can be used are in additive genetic improvement, exploitation of non-additive genetic variance and management which exploits genotype by environment interactions to optimise management. Genomic selection is already being widely implemented in dairy cattle and beef cattle and sheep will follow in the future once the accuracy of genomic selection is high enough. The accuracy of equations that predict breeding value from DNA genotypes can be increased by increasing the size of the reference population from which the equations are estimated, increasing the density of markers, using genome sequences instead of markers, using more appropriate statistical procedures and incorporating biological information into the prediction. In the long term, genomic selection combined with reproductive technology that reduces the minimum age at breeding will greatly increase the rate of genetic gain. This will allow long-term increases in biological efficiency and short-term tailoring of livestock to meet the demands of particular markets and opportunities.

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