Usefulness of prostate-specific antigen velocity in screening for prostate cancer.

Abstract

The cut-off value of prostate-specific antigen velocity (PSAV) was investigated in relation to the initial prostate-specific antigen (PSA) value in subjects with initial values of 1.0-4.0 ng/mL, and the usefulness and limitations of PSAV as a screening test for prostate cancer were examined. In this study, 4883 men who underwent mass screening for prostate cancer two or more times between 1987 and 1998 and had initial PSA levels of 1.0-4.0 ng/mL were investigated. The subjects ranged in age from 42 to 96 years (mean: 68.0 +/- 6.6 years). The cut-off value of PSAV was set at 0.1-1.5 ng/mL per year, and the sensitivity, specificity, efficiency and positive predictive value (PPV) of PSAV for detecting prostate cancer were determined according to the initial PSA value. A similar examination of the average PSAV was carried out in 2888 subjects with three or more visits for mass screening for prostate cancer. The diagnostic efficiency of PSAV was optimal with cut-off values of 0.3 and 0.75 ng/mL per year in those subjects with initial PSA levels of 1.0-1.9 and 2.0-4.0 ng/mL, respectively, but the PPV was low at 1.8% in subjects with initial PSA levels of 1.0-1.9 ng/mL. When the cutoff value of PSAV was set at 1.2 ng/mL per year in individuals with initial PSA levels of 1.0-1.9 ng/mL, the PPV increased to 7.3% and the sensitivity was 40%. The diagnostic efficiency of the average PSAV was optimal at the cut-off values of 0.2 and 0.4 ng/mL per year in subjects with initial PSA levels of 1.0-1.9 and 2.0-4.0 ng/mL, respectively, but the PPV was low at 2.2% in the subjects with initial PSA values of 1.0-1.9 ng/mL. When the cut-off value of PSAV was set at 0.75 ng/mL per year in individuals with initial PSA levels of 1.0-1.9 ng/mL, the PPV was 9.8% and the sensitivity was 46%. It is possible to improve the diagnostic accuracy of prostate cancer screening using the cut-off value of PSAV and average PSAV in subjects with initial PSA levels of 1.0-4.0 ng/mL. The cut-off values of PSAV should be set at 1.2 and 0.75 ng/mL per year in individuals with initial PSA levels of 1.0-1.9 and 2.0-4.0 ng/mL, respectively. The cut-off values of the average PSAV should be set at 0.75 and 0.4 ng/mL per year in individuals with initial PSA levels of 1.0-1.9 and 2.0-4.0 ng/mL, respectively.