Usefulness of an early warning score as an early predictor of clinical deterioration in hospitalized children.

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The early detection of clinical deterioration in hospitalized patients helps to improve the quality of care. The pediatric early warning score (PEWS) system predicts such deterioration in the first 24 hours of administration. Prior studies support the use of these tools. To assess the usefulness of the Brighton PEWS (B-PEWS) for the prediction of clinical deterioration among hospitalized children at a children's hospital in the Autonomous City of Buenos Aires. Cross-sectional study. The medical records of all patients aged 1 month to 18 years admitted to any hospitalization ward between March 1st and August 31st, 2018 were included. Predictive outcome measure: B-PEWS score (≤ 3 and ≥ 4 points). Outcome variable: clinical deterioration in the first 24 hours. Categorical outcome measures were analyzed with the χ² test and screening values were estimated. The relative risk was used as a measure of association. A ROC curve analysis and an optimal cut-point analysis according to the Youden index were done considering the score in a continuous manner. A total of 518 medical records were reviewed. Forty patients had clinical deterioration; the B-PEWS score was ≥ 4 in 37 patients and ≤ 3 in 3 (relative risk: 56.36; 95 % confidence interval: 17.76-178.89; p < 0.01). Sensitivity: 92.5 %; specificity: 88.3 %; positive predictive value: 39.8 %; negative predictive value: 99.3 %; positive likelihood ratio: 7.91; negative likelihood ratio: 0.08. AUC: 0.94 (95 % confidence interval: 0.89-0.98). The B-PEWS demonstrated to be useful to predict clinical deterioration in hospitalized children.