Abstract

To measure trends in the use of various smoking products among children and adolescents from 2016 to 2023. The data is based on seven waves of the "Präventionsradar", a school-based epidemiological study in grades 5 to 10. The primary endpoints of the study were the lifetime and monthly prevalence of the use of tobacco cigarettes, e-cigarettes, shisha and the use of at least two of these smoking products (combined use). Prevalence estimates are based on logistic regression models. The analysis was based on 94,127 questionnaires. The sex ratio was balanced (49% female), mean age was 13 years (SD=1.8). In 2022/2023, the lifetime prevalence of smoking tobacco cigarettes was 18.8% (95% CI 18.1-19.5), of e-cigarettes 23.5% (95% CI 22.8-24.3), of shisha 14.0% (95% CI 13.4-14.7) and combined use 19.0% (95% CI 18.3-19.7). The monthly prevalence of smoking tobacco cigarettes was 5.9% (95% CI 5.5-6.4), of e-cigarettes 7.0% (95% CI 6.5-7.4), of shisha 3.2% (95% CI 2.8-3.5) and combined use 4.8% (95% CI 4.4-5.2). The following trends in lifetime prevalence have emerged since 2016: tobacco cigarettes (-3.0 percentage points), e-cigarettes (+1.8 percentage points), shisha (-9.2 percentage points), combined use (-2.7 percentage points). In the years of the COVID-19 pandemic, youth smoking decreased and rose again post-COVID with the exception of shisha. The use of smoking products in adolescence occurs frequently. Over the observational period, a trend reversal towards e-cigarettes as the most popular product among children and young people is most likely. In addition, the combined use of several smoking products has become a common pattern of consumption. Consistent preventive measures are required in order to achieve the goal of a smoke-free society in 2040.

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