Use of Salt-Transfer Parameters in Forecast Decisions

Abstract

The article discusses methods to assess the reliability of salt-transfer parameters that were previously calculated with models of the microdispersion, macrodispersion, and dissolution of salts, with a view to their further use in predictive assessments of the development of salt-transfer processes in irrigation systems. The evaluation included statistical methods with the Fisher and Student criteria with the subsequent determination of the systematic error. The most adequate models for objects of the eastern Ciscaucasia and the Saratov Trans-Volga regions are established. To use the salt-transfer parameters in forecast estimates based on their linear and nonlinear statistical dependences on the lithological structure of the aeration zone and its filtration properties, the corresponding multidimensional statistical equations are obtained.