Abstract

In this article the need to forecast the cash flows of a corporation is discussed. Although many corporations operate on a decentralized basis to a greater or lesser degree the cash resources of the corporation are often controlled from head office. The system is cash receipts are remitted to the head office treasurer on a daily, weekly, or monthly basis and he undertakes to make funds available. Owing to the size of many corporations the treasurer is far removed from activities at the branch level and it is not unknown for him to experience an unexpected inflow or outflow of funds. It is also often taken for granted by the operations' accountants that the corporate treasurer will always have sufficient funds to place at their disposal. This lack of communication can result in difficulties in providing the operations with the required funds. It is therefore necessary that the treasurer forecast his future cash position in order to have adequate cash resources at his disposal to meet the requirements of the operations over the short term. In order to assist the treasurer in making short term forecasts a model using regression analysis was developed.

Highlights

  • Working capital, especially cash or overdraft facilities, form the basis around which a company's affairs rotate

  • Many corporations operate on a decentralized basis, to a greater or lesser degree, with the result that most the routine transactions are negotiated at the operational level

  • The system is that cash receipts are remitted to the head office treasurer on a daily, weekly, or monthly basis and he undertakes to make funds available for cheques drawn against the operation's bank account in the normal course of events

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Summary

Use of regression analysis to forecast cash flows

In this article the need to forecast the cash flows of a corporation is discussed. many corporations operate on a decentralized basis to a greater or lesser degree the cash resources of the corporation are often controlled from head office. Owing to the size of many corporations the treasurer is far removed from activities at the branch level and it is not unknown for him to experience an unexpected inflow or outflow of funds. It is often taken for granted by the operations' accountants that the corporate treasurer will always have sufficient funds to place at their disposal. In die artikel word die noodsaaklikheid om die kontantbehoeftes van 'n maatskappy te voorspel bespreek. Die stelsel wat gevolg word is om behoeftes aan kontant na die hoofkantoortesourier te verwys en hy voorsien dan die nodige fondse. Die model word gebruik om die korttermyn-kontantbehoeftes van die maatskappy te voorspel.

Introduction
Forecast Actual
Description of the company
Forecasting cash flows
Trading days
Dummy variables
The data
Selecting an appropriate regression model
The Cp Criterion
The first run on the computer revealed that observations
Independent variables
The assumptions of regression analysis
Independence of residuals
The model for cash outflow
Testing the model
Conclusion

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