Use of CHADS₂ and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores to predict subsequent myocardial infarction, stroke, and death in patients with acute coronary syndrome: data from Taiwan acute coronary syndrome full spectrum registry.

Abstract

BackgroundAcute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients have a wide spectrum of risks for subsequent cardiovascular events and death. However, there is no simple, convenience scoring system to identify risk of adverse outcomes. We investigated whether CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were useful tools to assess the risk for adverse events among ACS patients.MethodsThis observational prospective study was conducted at 39 hospitals. Totally 3,183 patients with ACS were enrolled, and CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were calculated. The primary endpoint was occurrence of adverse event, including subsequent myocardial infarction, stroke, or death, within 1 year of discharge.ResultsCHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were significant predictors of adverse events in separate multivariate regression analyses. A Kaplan-Meier analysis of CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores of ≥2 showed a higher rate of adverse events as compared with scores of <2 (P<0.001;log-rank test). CHA2DS2-VASc score was better than CHADS2 score in predicting subsequent adverse events; the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve increased from 0.66 to 0.70 (p<0.001). Patients with CHADS2 scores of 0 or 1 were further classified according to CHA2DS2-VASc score, using a cutoff value of 2. The rate of adverse events significantly differed between those with a score of <2 and those with a score of ≥2 (4.1% vs.10.7%, P<0.001).ConclusionsCHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were useful predictors of subsequent adverse events in ACS patients.