Abstract

Significance This comes after Democrat Hillary Clinton won the popular but not the Electoral College vote in 2016, allowing Republican Donald Trump to win the presidency. The last time that happened was in 2000, bringing Republican President George W Bush. Impacts Keeping the Electoral College means parties will focus resources on 'swing states' to win. Which states are 'swing states' will vary with demographic change; Electoral College seats are reapportioned post-census. Presidential policy priorities will not be determined only by who elects them, or which states. Some states may reform rules around how their electors cast their votes relative to the state's popular vote for president.

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