Abstract
Significance This comes as US foreign policy, especially towards China and Iran, is forcing some political tightrope-walking for US partners. It also comes as UK Prime Minister Theresa May prepares to resign as Conservative Party leader on June 7; her party will from June 11 pick a successor who will become prime minister. Impacts A ‘no-deal’ Brexit would allow London to strike independent trade deals; Trump’s team is ready for talks. The next Conservative leader may well be pro-Brexit, potentially making a no-deal exit more likely. Both countries will emphasise security and defence ties to counter claims of diminished UK utility to Washington post-Brexit. London will likely seek a middle course in UK-China ties since it also eyes a UK-China trade deal. London may try to discourage Trump from using tariffs, but is unlikely to persuade him.
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