Abstract

The clinical course of idiopathic membranous nephropathy (IMN) varies from spontaneous remission of nephrotic syndrome (NS) to end-stage renal disease (ESRD). The aim of the study was baseline identification of patients with high risk of progression for which immunosuppressive therapy is mandatory. Eighty-six IMN subjects were followed for a median of 69months (range 6-253). Receiver operating characteristic curve and Cox proportional hazards model were used to evaluate prognostic factors for progression, defined as ESRD or estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) reduction ≥50% of baseline. Among all, 24 subjects had progression. Area under the ROC curve of N-acetyl-β-glucosaminidase/creatinine ratio (NAG/C) were significantly higher than proteinuria/24h (0.770 and 0.637 respectively, P = 0.018). In Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, NAG/C and eGFR were independent predictors of progression. Compared to lowest tertile of NAG/C (<9.4 UI/gC) or highest tertile of eGFR (≥88mL/min per 1.73m2 ), the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratio of highest tertile of NAG/C (≥19.2) was 18.97 (95%CI, 1.70-211.86) and lowest tertile of eGFR (<59) was 11.58 (95%CI, 2.02-66.29). Subjects with high NAG/C or low eGFR (high-risk, n=43) had greater progression rate compared to moderate to low NAG/C and high eGFR (low-risk, n=43) with or without NS at baseline (Log-rank test P = 0.001 and 0.006, respectively). In NS subjects (n=65), high-risk group progression rate was significantly higher (91% vs. 29%, P = 0.003) and remission rate significantly lower (0% vs. 42%, p<0.001) in non-immunosuppressed compared to steroids and cyclophosphamide treated patients; no significant differences were observed in low-risk group. Idiopathic membranous nephropathy subjects with high NAG/C and low eGFR have greater risk of progression, and immunosuppressive treatment is suggested at diagnosis.

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