Abstract

Urban water bodies constitute a vital element within the urban ecosystem. Knowledge of the spatiotemporal changes in urban water bodies and their relationship with economic development in China is critical for sustainable development. However, previous studies usually investigated the spatiotemporal changes of urban water bodies at discrete time points and ignored the relationship between urban water bodies and economic development. Here, this study first corrected freely available water body products based on spatiotemporal majority filter, thereby obtaining an improved yearly urban water body dataset. Then, the research adopted Moran’s I and Anselin Local Moran’s I to explore the spatial distribution patterns of urban water bodies and employed linear regression and segmented linear regression to investigate the temporal abrupt change and long-term trend of urban water bodies. Finally, we used geodetector to evaluate the relative contributions of GDP to the spatial heterogeneity of trends in urban water bodies. The study revealed a significant spatial autocorrelation in the distribution of urban water bodies, particularly notable in the “High-High” cluster within the Yangtze and Pearl River Deltas. It was observed that approximately 40 % and 60 % of total cities experienced an abrupt change in permanent and seasonal urban water bodies, respectively. Specifically, the majority of these abrupt changes occurred during 2010–2013. When considering both long-term trends and abrupt changes, permanent urban water bodies in Chinese cities exhibited primarily a steadily increasing trend, while seasonal water bodies in Chinese cities displayed two distinct temporal patterns: a steadily increasing trend and a decreasing trend followed by a subsequent increasing trend. Furthermore, it was noted that GDP exhibited a significantly positive correlation with the temporal changes of permanent urban water bodies from 2000 to 2020 at the national scale while it first showed a significantly negative correlation with the temporal changes of seasonal urban water bodies from 2000 to 2012 and then showed a significantly positive correlation from 2012 to 2020 on a national scale. In conclusion, we found that GDP played a more important role in driving the spatial heterogeneity of trends in urban water bodies during 2012–2020 compared to 2000–2012, with the relative contribution of ∼ 32.5 %.

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