Abstract
The real-time and reliable urban traffic flow prediction is the foundation of traffic management and control in urban traffic. A variable cell transmission model (VCTM) is proposed to improve the ability of the urban traffic flow prediction. Based on the analysis of the defects using the cell transmission model (CTM) to predict the urban traffic flow, two parameters are introduced into the VCTM according to the traffic flow conservation law. In the VCTM, three different types of cell connections are described by three different expressions including simple connection, merge connection, and diverge connection. Two parameters of the VCTM increase computational burden, but the cell length is adjustable which ensures that the VCTM can be widely utilized in the roads with different lengths. The simulation results indicate that the VCTM meets the requirements of the traffic flow prediction in the urban traffic.
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More From: Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology
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