Urban-Rural Transformation and Urban Growth Scenario Using Cellular Automata in Lebak District - Banten Province

Abstract

The development of Lebak District has been significant during the previous ten years, with the impact of urbanization, changing the community’s physical, social, and economic shape. The construction of the Serang-Panimbang toll road, which facilitates access to the Metropolitan City of DKI Jakarta, has rapidly transformed Lebak District, which indicates an urban-rural transformation. This study aims to see how rural-urban transformation occurs in Lebak District and to create a scenario of urban development in Lebak District in 2030. Assessment of the level and pattern of transformation based on physical, social, and economic aspects using geographic information system (GIS) applications is conducted. This research uses cellular automata to create urban development scenarios in Lebak District in 2030. The results of this study indicate that the urban-rural transformation in Lebak District occurred due to the influence of urbanization and the construction of a toll road that connects Lebak District with the metropolitan city of Jakarta. Lebak District has four development areas. First is the urban agglomeration of Rangkasbitung, the hub of administration and economy. Second, coastal development areas are located in the southern region of Lebak District. The third strategic development area is the toll road integration area, with a development plan for an integrated industrial region. The fourth location has modest development and is located in terrain with limited accessibility. The results of urban development scenarios using cellular automata show that the development of the Serang-Panimbang toll road led to an increase in urban growth by 21% in 2030.