Abstract

Since the 20th century, urbanization has been the main characteristic of global land development. If we can reveal and understand the characteristics and underlying mechanisms of urban development, we can then identify a sustainable development pattern for cities. In this paper, we primarily focus on the determinants of two main types of land use in urban development, industrial and commercial, in an empirical study of Beijing. We use a spatial data analysis method to seek and model major determinants of industrial and commercial land growth in the period of 2000–2010 in Beijing. A spatial logistic regression model is used to explore the impact of spatial independent variables on these two types of land use. The study shows that: (1) newly-added industrial land during 2000–2010 received significant contributions from the number of local enterprises engaged in services in 2010, the use of land for agriculture and construction in the neighborhood in 2000 and planning orders; (2) factors contributing to land transferred for commercial use included the number of enterprises, construction land in the neighborhood and accessibility improvement.

Highlights

  • Determinants of land use change are important for understanding and formulating urban development policy

  • We primarily focus on the determinants of two main types of land use in urban development, industrial and commercial, in an empirical study of Beijing

  • We conducted an empirical study of urban land development for manufacturing and services use from 2000 to 2010, primarily focused on the determinants of industrial and commercial land growth from 2000 to 2010

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Summary

Introduction

Determinants of land use change are important for understanding and formulating urban development policy. These determinants guide analysts and planners in making suitable land development strategies. It is expected that different land use changes occur because of different processes of development and are determined by different factors. This is not well addressed in current land use studies. We primarily focus on the determinants of two main types of land use in urban development, industrial and commercial, in an empirical study of Beijing

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