Abstract
AbstractThe urban heat island (UHI) effect denotes that temperatures in urban areas are often higher compared to the rural background. This human‐induced phenomenon can exacerbate heat stress and adverse health impacts, adding to ongoing global warming. To examine the intensity and variability of the UHI effect, we used 40 years () of observational data (daily maximum and minimum temperature) from the Global Summary of the Day (GSOD), comprising about 1000 stations of varying temporal extent, spanning the Middle East and North Africa (MENA). The MENA is characterised by hot and dry summers and warms faster than other inhabited regions worldwide. The challenge in using data with diverse spatial and temporal extents is accounting for heterogeneities between each station comprising an urban–rural pair. One has to allow for differences in the distance between the pairs and, elevation, spatial–temporal changes in urbanisation as well as the distance from the coast. A new method is proposed, based on flexible statistical methods (Generalized Additive Models or GAMs), to quantify the temporal trend in the UHI effect while allowing for the aforementioned characteristics using regression splines of appropriately defined variables. A composition of high‐resolution satellite geospatial information, related to urbanisation properties and population data was utilised from the Global Human Settlement Layer database (GHSL‐SMOD), to characterise the stations in terms of their urbanisation type. These data were also used to quantify temporal changes in the extent of urbanisation relative to the surrounding areas. Results indicate consistent upward trends of the UHI effect in the MENA (up to °C), particularly at night (daily minimum temperature) during all seasons.
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Disclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.