Abstract

Appropriate methods and tools accessibility for bi-dimensional flow simulation leads to their weak use for floods assessment and forecasting in West African countries, particularly in urban areas where huge losses of life and property are recorded. To mitigate flood risks or to elaborate flood adaptation strategies, there is a need for scientific information on flood events. This paper focuses on a numerical tool developed for urban inundation extent simulation due to extreme tropical rainfall in Ouagadougou city. Two-dimensional (2D) shallow-water equations are solved using a finite volume method with a Harten, Lax, Van Leer (HLL) numerical fluxes approach. The Digital Elevation Model provided by NASA’s Shuttle Radar Topography Mission (SRTM) was used as the main input of the model. The results have shown the capability of the numerical tool developed to simulate flow depths in natural watercourses. The sensitivity of the model to rainfall intensity and soil roughness coefficient was highlighted through flood spatial extent and water depth at the outlet of the watershed. The performance of the model was assessed through the simulation of two flood events, with satisfactory values of the Nash–Sutcliffe criterion of 0.61 and 0.69. The study is expected to be useful for flood managers and decision makers in assessing flood hazard and vulnerability.

Highlights

  • In human history, natural disasters have always existed as a common and recurrent phenomenon.Among them, floods are the most widespread worldwide disaster and appear at the top ranking due to important fatalities and damages caused [1,2,3]

  • The effect of increasing rainfall intensity on water depth in the watershed is shown in Figures 4 and 5

  • The flooded area for the 50 mm synthetic rainfall is 4.3 km2, but by multiplying the rainfall intensity by 2 (100 mm), the surface flooded is more than twice 4.3 km2 (10.5 km2 )

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Summary

Introduction

Natural disasters have always existed as a common and recurrent phenomenon. Floods are the most widespread worldwide disaster and appear at the top ranking due to important fatalities and damages caused [1,2,3]. According to the United Nations International Strategy for Disaster Reduction [4], flood disasters account for about one-third of all-natural disasters, ranking by economic losses, between 1994 and 2013. Despite considerable technologies developed for forecasting, management, and defense, floods are still a significant threat around the world [7]. Petrucci et al [7], showed that 812 floods recorded killed 2466 people, with important losses, based on 39 years (between 1980 and 2018) of recorded data over nine study areas located in Europe

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