Abstract

Using a coastal assimilation model, generation mechanism of unusually high sea level (UHSL) at the south coast of Japan in September 2011 is investigated. Both model results and tide gauge observations indicate that sea level rise associated with the UHSL event occurred twice in the middle and end of September. The first one, which is localized around the eastern part of the Seto Inland Sea, is caused by a cyclonic circulation in the Kii Channel formed as a result of northward migration of the Kuroshio axis toward Cape Shionomisaki. The second sea level rise, which is the main contributor to this UHSL event, is observed in wide areas not only at the south coast of Japan, but also at the coast of the Japan Sea. It is brought about by a coastal trapped wave (CTW) induced as a result of a fluctuation of the Kuroshio path to the south of the Boso Peninsula. The CTW with positive SSH anomalies propagates westward along the south coast of Japan, and then goes into the coast of the Japan Sea. Sensitivity experiments and a modal characteristic analysis indicate that the CTW is mainly characterized by the first mode baroclinic Kelvin wave. The phase speed for the first mode is calculated at 2.96 m s^{-1}, which compares well with that estimated by tide gauge observations.

Highlights

  • Sea level can change due to a variety of factors including ocean tides, changes in ocean circulation and atmospheric pressure, and so on

  • We focus on the Kuroshio path state south of Japan in September 2011 and its relation to the signifi‐ cant sea level rise associated with the unusually high sea level (UHSL) event

  • We looked into the model results to identify the cause of the sea level rise in xCTW

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Summary

Introduction

Sea level can change due to a variety of factors including ocean tides, changes in ocean circulation and atmospheric pressure, and so on. Coastal sea level variations associated with propa‐ gation of CTWs induced by alongshore wind are often observed at the Japanese coast (Kubota 1981; Kitade and Matsuyama 2000; Igeta et al 2007). The assimilation results suggest a possibility that a CTW induced by a fluctuation of the Kuroshio path causes the 2011 UHSL (Usui et al 2015) This motivates us to clarify the mechanism of the 2011 UHSL using the coastal assimi‐ lation model and its assimilation results of Usui et al (2015). 3, features of coastal sea level and Kuroshio path state in September 2011 are shown on the basis of both tide gauge observations and the model results.

Model and experiment
Coastal sea level
Kuroshio path state south of Japan
Role of coastal trapped wave in the unusually high sea level
Sensitivity experiments
Characteristics of coastal trapped wave induced by Kuroshio
Findings
Concluding remarks
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