Abstract
Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has widely varying clinical severity. Currently, no single marker or panel of markers is considered standard of care for prediction of COVID-19 disease progression. The goal of this study is to gain mechanistic insights at the molecular level and to discover predictive biomarkers of severity of infection and outcomes among COVID-19 patients. This cohort study (n = 76) included participants aged 16-78years who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 and enrolled in Memphis, TN between August 2020 to July 2022. Clinical outcomes were classified as Non-severe (n = 39) or Severe (n = 37). LC/HRMS-based untargeted metabolomics/lipidomics was conducted to examine the difference in plasma metabolome and lipidome between the two groups. Metabolomics data indicated that the kynurenine pathway was activated in Severe participants. Significant increases in short chain acylcarnitines, and short and medium chain acylcarnitines containing OH-FA chain in Severe vs. Non-severe group, which indicates that (1) the energy pathway switched to FA β-oxidation to maintain the host energy homeostasis and to provide energy for virus proliferation; (2) ROS status was aggravated in Severe vs. Non-severe group. Based on PLS-DA and correlation analysis to severity score, IL-6, and creatine, a biomarker panel containing glucose (pro-inflammation), ceramide and S1P (inflammation related), 4-hydroxybutyric acid (oxidative stress related), testosterone sulfate (immune related), and creatine (kidney function), was discovered. This novel biomarker panel plus IL-6 with an AUC of 0.945 provides a better indication of COVID-19 clinical outcomes than that of IL-6 alone or the three clinical biomarker panel (IL-6, glucose and creatine) with AUCs of 0.875 or 0.892.
Published Version
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