Unrealized fertility among women in low and middle-income countries

Abstract

There has been little research on women who have fewer than their ideal number of children toward the end of their childbearing years in low and middle-income countries (LMICs). We examine the level and distribution of unrealized fertility in LMICs across three geographical regions. We also examine the role of sex preference and other factors associated with unrealized fertility. We used Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) data for women age 44-48 in 36 countries from the three geographical regions of Western and Central Africa, Eastern and Southern Africa, and South and Southeast Asia. We conducted descriptive analysis to examine the distribution of unwanted fertility and unrealized fertility, and fit adjusted logistic regressions of unrealized fertility. The main variables are number of living children (including by sex) and the sex composition of children. Other variables included education, marital status, age at first childbirth, wealth quintile, place of residence, exposure to family planning messages, contraceptive use, and country. Unrealized fertility was highest in Western and Central Africa, followed by Eastern and Southern Africa. In all regions, there was a decrease in unrealized fertility with an increasing number of children. Findings for sex preference varied with little sex preference in the African regions, and some limited evidence of preference for sons in South and Southeast Asia. In most regions, higher levels of education, higher wealth quintile, and use of contraceptive methods were associated with decreased unrealized fertility. Family planning programs and messages should consider regional and socioeconomic differences in unrealized fertility in order to give women and families the right to achieve the family size they desire regardless of their status.