Abstract
The inefficiency of short-term forecasting of strong earthquakes is obvious. New methods and hypotheses of preparation of seismic events are interesting, but exact and reliable forecasts will not follow. Unpredictability is undoubtedly predetermined by nonlinearity, self-similarity, by a chaotic (not stochastic) and by bifurcations dynamics of seismic process in fractal geomedium. Superdependence of dynamic systems on initial conditions, vagueness of distinctions of background and abnormal structures and conditions, at rigid requirements to adequacy and representativity of forecasts, inevitably lead, to the negative decision of a problem. This article continues the long-standing scientific discussion about earthquake prediction, which was resumed after the our publication [Koronovsky et al., 2019].
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