Abstract
Although China's family planning programme is often referred to in the singular, most notably the One-Child policy, in reality there have been a number of different policies in place simultaneously, targeted at different sub-populations characterized by region and socioeconomic conditions. This study attempted to systematically assess the differential impact of China's family planning programmes over the past 40 years. The contribution of Parity Progression Ratios to fertility change among different sub-populations exposed to various family planning policies over time was assessed. Cross-sectional birth history data from six consecutive rounds of nationally representative population and family planning surveys from the early 1970s until the mid-2000s were used, covering all geographical regions of China. Four sub-populations exposed to differential family planning regimes were identified. The analyses provide compelling evidence of the influential role of family planning policies in reducing higher Parity Progression Ratios across different sub-populations, particularly in urban China where fertility dropped to replacement level even before the implementation of the One-Child policy. The prevailing socioeconomic conditions in turn have been instrumental in adapting and accelerating family planning policy responses to reducing fertility levels across China.
Highlights
The scale and population impact of Family Planning Policies (FPP) in China have been widely documented in the demographic and social science literature ever since familyDownloaded from https://www.cambridge.org/core
The analysis of sub-populations characterized by very different socioeconomic conditions is critically important to ascertaining the impact of FPP on fertility behaviours, and in particular to understanding how the recent structural changes – reflected in rapid social and economic development – have mediated the influence of FPP in triggering fertility change over time and place
The study further sought to decompose the contribution of Parity Progression Ratios (PPRs) to total fertility change among different sub-populations subject to differential FPP over time and characterized by different socioeconomic attributes
Summary
The scale and population impact of Family Planning Policies (FPP) in China have been widely documented in the demographic and social science literature ever since family. This study integrated cross-sectional birth history data from successive rounds of nationally representative population and family planning surveys, from the early 1970s until mid-2000s, to evaluate the underlying influence of FPP on fertility change in China, including the post-transitional period. The study further sought to decompose the contribution of Parity Progression Ratios (PPRs) to total fertility change among different sub-populations subject to differential FPP over time and characterized by different socioeconomic attributes. How did FPP evolve across different sub-populations and over time in China? How did the differential FPP, implemented across different sub-populations, contribute to overall fertility reduction in China? The study aimed to provide a more indepth understanding of how FPP have contributed towards the triggering of fertility transition among different sub-populations in China, and to unpack the role of the FPP in the face of rapid economic and social development How did FPP evolve across different sub-populations and over time in China? Second, how did the differential FPP, implemented across different sub-populations, contribute to overall fertility reduction in China? The study aimed to provide a more indepth understanding of how FPP have contributed towards the triggering of fertility transition among different sub-populations in China, and to unpack the role of the FPP in the face of rapid economic and social development
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