Unnecessary endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography associated with the spontaneous passage of common bile duct stones into the duodenum: a multicenter retrospective study.

Abstract

Unnecessary endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP) after spontaneous passage of common bile duct stones (CBDSs) should be avoided. This study aimed to examine the cumulative diagnosis rate and the predictive factors of spontaneous CBDS passage during the interval between the imaging diagnosis and ERCP. This multicenter retrospective study included 1260 consecutive patients with native papilla diagnosed with CBDSs using imaging modalities. Predictive factors and cumulative diagnosis rate of spontaneously passed CBDSs during the interval between imaging diagnosis and ERCP were analyzed. The overall cumulative diagnosis rate of spontaneous CBDS passage was 6.2% (78/1260) during a mean interval of 5.0days. In the multivariate analysis, CBDS sized < 6mm on diagnostic imaging, solitary CBDS on diagnostic imaging, intervals between the imaging diagnosis and ERCP, and nondilated common bile duct (< 10mm) were the significant factors associated with spontaneous CBDS passage. Specifically, the cumulative diagnosis rate of spontaneous passage was significantly higher in patients with solitary and CBDSs sized < 6mm than in those with other CBDSs (14.4% [54/376] vs. 2.7% [24/884], P < 0.001). In both the asymptomatic and symptomatic groups, the cumulative diagnosis rate of the spontaneous passage of CBDSs was significantly higher in patients with solitary and CBDSs sized < 6mm on diagnostic imaging than in those with multiple and/or CBDSs sized ≥ 6mm on diagnostic imaging during a mean interval of 20.5 and 2.4days, respectively (asymptomatic group: 22.4% [15/67] vs. 3.5% [4/113], P < 0.001, symptomatic group: 12.6% [39/309] vs. 2.6% [20/771], P < 0.001). Solitary and CBDSs sized < 6mm on diagnostic imaging can often lead unnecessary ERCP due to spontaneous passage. Preliminary endoscopic ultrasonography immediately before ERCP is recommended, especially in patients with solitary and small CBDSs on diagnostic imaging.