Abstract

An inequality involving the Kullback-Leibler and chi-square divergences is used to generate new universal portfolios for investment. The stationary vector of an objective function is determined for the purpose of deciding the next-day portfolio given the current-day portfolio and the current-day price relative vector. The two-parameter portfolio is studied empirically by running the portfolio on selected stock-price data sets from the local stock exchange. It is demonstrated that the wealth of the investor can be increased by using the proposed universal portfolio.

Highlights

  • Daniel Bernoulli’s article about log utility and the St

  • Universal portfolios weighted by moments of probability distribution is proposed in [14]

  • Another method of deriving universal portfolios using the stationary vector of an objective function is initiated by Helmbold et al [15]

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Summary

Introduction

Daniel Bernoulli’s article about log utility and the St. Petersburg Paradox was written in 1738. Bell and Cover demonstrated that a game theoretically optimal portfolio is possible by maximizing the conditional expected log return [8]. Given information of the historical data, Algoet and Cover proved that the conditional expected log return can be maximized [11]. Universal portfolios weighted by moments of probability distribution is proposed in [14] Another method of deriving universal portfolios using the stationary vector of an objective function is initiated by Helmbold et al [15]. This method is generalized by Tan and Lee [16] to generate universal portfolios from the CauchySchwarz and Hölder inequalities. Universal portfolios generated from the f and Bregman divergences are discussed in Tan and Kuang [18]

Some preliminaries
Proposition 1
Proposition 2
Empirical results
Conclusion
Full Text
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