Abstract
Our aim was to develop and evaluate the performance of population-based sex-specific and unisex prescriptive fetal abdominal circumference growth charts in predicting small-for-gestational-age (SGA) birthweight, severe SGA (sSGA) birthweight, and severe adverse perinatal outcomes (SAPO) in a low-risk population. This is a post hoc analysis of the Dutch nationwide cluster-randomized IRIS study, encompassing ultrasound data of 7,704 low-risk women. IRIS prescriptive unisex and IRIS sex-specific abdominal circumference (AC) fetal growth charts were derived using quantile regression. As a comparison, we used the descriptive unisex Verburg chart, which is commonly applied in the Netherlands. Diagnostic parameters were calculated based on the 34-36 weeks' ultrasound. Sensitivity rates for predicting SGA and sSGA birthweights were more than twofold higher based on the IRIS prescriptive sex-specific (respectively SGA 43%; sSGA 59%) and unisex (SGA 39%; sSGA 55%) charts, compared to the Verburg chart (SGA 16%; sSGA 23% both p < 0.01). Specificity rates were highest for Verburg (SGA 99%; sSGA 98%) and lowest for IRIS sex-specific (SGA 94%; sSGA 92%). Results for predicting SGA with SAPO were similar for the prescriptive charts (44%), and again higher than the Verburg chart (20%). The IRIS sex-specific chart identified significantly more males as SGA and sSGA (respectively, 42%; 60%, p < 0.001) than the IRIS unisex chart (respectively, 35%; 53% p < 0.01). Our study demonstrates improved performance of both the IRIS sex-specific and unisex prescriptive fetal growth compared to the Verburg descriptive chart, doubling detection rates of SGA, sSGA, and SGA with SAPO. Additionally, the sex-specific chart outperformed the unisex chart in detecting SGA and sSGA. Our findings suggest the potential benefits of using prescriptive AC fetal growth charts in low-risk populations and emphasize the importance of considering customizing fetal growth charts for sex. Nevertheless, the increased sensitivity of these charts should be weighed against the decrease in specificity.
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