Abstract

A general equilibrium model of optimal employment contracts is developed where firms have better information about labor's marginal product than workers. It is optimal for the wage to be tied to the level of employment, to prevent the firm from falsely stating that the marginal product is low and cutting the wage. It is shown that an observed aggregate shock that leads to an interindustry shift in labor demand and that would have no effect on total employment under symmetric information leads to a reduction in employment when firms and workers have asymmetric information.

Highlights

  • Recent theories of the business cycle have emphasized the misallocations associated with unobserved aggregate shocks.' Agents are assumed to have insufficient information to distinguish changes in theivrelative position from those in their absolute position

  • Tile model has the property that an observed increase in the dispersion of relative final goods prices causes an increase in the uncertainty workers have about their own marginal value products. This situation, where each worker knows more about general economic conditions than about conditions in his own industry, is in contrast to Lucas's (1972) assumption that workers know more about their own firmnsp' rice than they know about the economy-wide price level

  • Relative Price Variabilityas a Cause ou/Aggregate Output Variability In Section IV we outlined a model in which relative price shocks inake workers uncertain about their marginal value products

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Summary

Introduction

Recent theories of the business cycle have emphasized the misallocations associated with unobserved aggregate shocks.' Agents are assumed to have insufficient information to distinguish changes in theivrelative position from those in their absolute position. Tile model has the property that an observed increase in the dispersion of relative final goods prices causes an increase in the uncertainty workers have about their own marginal value products This situation, where each worker knows more about general economic conditions than about conditions in his own industry (since each consumes goods produced in many industries), is in contrast to Lucas's (1972) assumption that workers know more about their own firmnsp' rice than they know about the economy-wide price level. Using the results of' Sections II and III, Section IV shows that an increase in the dispersion of relative prices that leaves the complete information Walrasian equilibrium unchanged causes a fall in employment under asymmetric information This is proved under the assumption that, ex ante, workers and firms write an optimal labor contract that appropriately is conditioned on everything that will be observable to both parties. A wealth redistribution that would have no effect on total employment when agents have symmetric information will cause employment to fall when they are asymmetrically informed

The Optimal Employment Contract
General Equilibrium with Physical Productivity Shocks
Relative Demand Shocks
Evidence and Conclusions
The Causes of Relative Price Variability
Findings
Relative versus Aggregate Demand Shifts
Full Text
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