Understanding the Main Predictors of Length of Stay After Total Hip Arthroplasty: Patient-Related or Procedure-Related Risk Factors?

Abstract

BackgroundRemoving total hip arthroplasty (THA) from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) inpatient-only list allows Medicare to cover outpatient THA, driving hospitals to recommend outpatient surgery for appropriate patients and raising safety concerns over which patients’ admissions should remain inpatient. Thus, we aimed to determine the influence of patient-related and procedure-related risk factors as predictors of >1-day Length of Stay (LOS) after THA. MethodsA prospective cohort of 5281 patients underwent primary THA from 2016 to 2019. Risk factors were categorized as patient-related or procedure-related. Multivariable cumulative link models identified significant predictors for 1-day, 2-day, and ≥3-day LOS. Discriminating 1-day LOS from >1-day LOS, we compared performance between two regression models. ResultsA>1-day LOS was significantly associated with age, female gender, higher body mass index, higher Charlson Comorbidity Index, Medicare status, and higher Hip disability and Osteoarthritis Outcome Physical Function Shortform(HOOS-PS) and lower Veterans RAND12 Mental Component (VR-12 MCS) scores via the initial regression model that contained patient factors only. A second regression model included procedure-related risk factors and indicated that procedure-related risk factors explain LOS more effectively than patient-related risk factors alone, as Akaike information criterion (AIC) increased by approximately 1100 units upon removal from the model. ConclusionAlthough patient-related risk factors alone provide predictive value for LOS following THA, procedure-related risk factors remain the main drivers of predicting LOS. These findings encourage examination of which specific procedural risk factors should be targeted to optimize LOS when choosing between inpatient and outpatient THA, especially within a Medicare population.