Abstract
The importance and extent of some of the linkages between disasters, migration and violent conflict are not very well understood. There has been controversy in the empirical analytical literature both over core elements of the nexus and over the mechanisms driving it. One reason for the current state of the pertinent literature is the widespread neglect of international policy interventions in the policy fields of disaster risk reduction, conflict prevention and peacebuilding, migration management as well as humanitarian and development assistance. This contribution highlights the importance of international interventions in these fields with respect to elements of the nexus. Based on a brief review of the comparative empirical evidence concerning the disputed links between disasters, migration and violent conflict it demonstrates how international policy interventions are affecting them. The study concludes with a call for more research into the ways in which international policy interventions contribute to shaping the disaster–migration–violent conflict nexus, arguing that a better understanding would enhance the potential for better policies to address its negative consequences.
Highlights
Among the many social consequences of climate change, migration and armed conflict continue to occupy a special place
Stressing the risks of armed conflict and migration linked to climate change in general, and climate- or weather-related disasters in particular, resonates with audiences who are less interested in ecological concerns and who are focused on other issues, such as national and societal security (Diez et al 2016; Wallace and Silander 2018)
The objective of the following sections is to support this argument by focusing on one type of ecological consequence linked to climate change, namely that of extreme weather events leading to disasters, and their connection to violent conflict, as well as the role of large scale population movements, whether forced or voluntary, here summarily referred to as migration, in this context
Summary
Among the many social consequences of climate change, migration and armed conflict continue to occupy a special place. The objective of the following sections is to support this argument by focusing on one type of ecological consequence linked to climate change, namely that of extreme weather events leading to disasters, and their connection to violent conflict, as well as the role of large scale population movements, whether forced or voluntary, here summarily referred to as migration, in this context This triangle of interconnected relations (Scheffran et al 2012; Brzoska and Fröhlich 2016; Abel et al 2019) is here conceptualized as the disaster–migration–violent conflict nexus, further explained in Section 2.1 below.
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