Abstract
The objectives of this paper are to examine the nominal uncovered interest parity hypothesis for three major currencies against the U.S. dollar using the monthly data for the period 1974-89. Forward-looking expectations, interest rate differentials, and risk premia variables are used to test the uncovered interest parity proposition. Two measures of risk premia variables are attempted. The authors' conclusion is that rational expectations of exchange rates dominate the interest differential even when risk premia are considered in an uncovered interest parity equation. Copyright 1994 by Blackwell Publishers Ltd and The Victoria University of Manchester
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