Uncertainty Quantification in Mathematics-Embedded Ontologies Using Stochastic Reduced Order Model

Abstract

To resolve one of uncertainty features, randomness , in ontologies, this paper shows how to characterize uncertainty of concepts from a statistical viewpoint. In addition, with a focus on indirect entities, which are computed from direct entities through mathematical models, the uncertainties propagated from those direct entities are important and should be quantified. Thus, a novel algorithm, named Stochastic Reduced Order Model (SROM) , is presented to be applied to quantify the ontological uncertainty propagation in presence of multiple input entities. This SROM-based method could approximate the statistics of indirect entities accurately and efficiently by using a very small amount of samples of input entities. The computational cost is considerably reduced while guaranteeing a reasonable degree of accuracy. Furthermore, the predicted statistics of output entities could be regarded as high-level information and be beneficial for other ontological operations, such as ontology filtering and ontology reasoning. The implementation of the SROM algorithm is non-intrusive to the mathematical model; therefore, this algorithm could be applicable to quantify uncertainty in ontologies with any mathematical relationships.