Abstract
In the framework of the European project CONFIDENCE, Work Package 1 (WP1) focused on the uncertainties in the pre- and early phase of a radiological emergency. One subtask was to analyse the propagation of uncertainties from ensemble dispersion simulations through a terrestrial food chain and dose model. Uncertainties that may occur in the modelling of radioactivity in the food chain were added to previously defined meteorological and source term uncertainties. Endpoints of the ensemble calculations within the food chain model included activity concentrations in the food chain, i.e. feedstuffs and foodstuffs, as well as the internal dose through ingestion. This paper describes the uncertainty propagation through a terrestrial food chain and dose model and presents some illustrations of the results.
Highlights
In the framework of the European project CONFIDENCE, Work Package 1 (WP1) focused on the uncertainties in the preand early phase of a radiological emergency
This paper describes the uncertainty propagation through a terrestrial food chain and dose model and presents some illustrations of the results
The comparison of the probability maps (Figs. 3 and 4) for the exceedance of threshold values in foodstuffs showed that the uncertainties in meteorological input data and the source term uncertainties, here the start time of the release, introduced the most significant variabilities
Summary
2 KNMI – Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, The Netherlands. Abstract – In the framework of the European project CONFIDENCE, Work Package 1 (WP1) focused on the uncertainties in the pre- and early phase of a radiological emergency. One subtask was to analyse the propagation of uncertainties from ensemble dispersion simulations through a terrestrial food chain and dose model. Uncertainties that may occur in the modelling of radioactivity in the food chain were added to previously defined meteorological and source term uncertainties. Endpoints of the ensemble calculations within the food chain model included activity concentrations in the food chain, i.e. feedstuffs and foodstuffs, as well as the internal dose through ingestion. This paper describes the uncertainty propagation through a terrestrial food chain and dose model and presents some illustrations of the results
Sign-in/Register to view highlights & summary Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a call
