Uncertainty analysis of speed–power performance based on measured raw data in sea trials

Abstract

It is important to verify that the contracted speed–power performance of a ship is satisfied in sea trials. International Organization for Standardization (ISO) has published the procedure for measuring and assessing ship speed during sea trials. The results obtained from actual sea conditions inevitably include various uncertainty factors. In this study, double run tests were performed on one container ship to analyze the uncertainty of sea trial on three maximum continuous rating conditions. The uncertainty factors and scale of uncertainty were examined based on the measured raw data during sea trial. The results indicate that the expanded uncertainty for ideal power performance is approximately ±1.4% at 95% confidence level (coverage factor k = 2) and most of the uncertainty factors were because of the shaft power measurement system.