Ultrasonic Features and Molecular Subtype Predict Somatic Mutations in TP53 and PIK3CA Genes in Breast Cancer

Abstract

To predict mutations in TP53 and PIK3CA genes in breast cancer using ultrasound (US) signatures and clinicopathology. In this study, we developed and trained a model in 386 breast cancer patients to predict TP53 and PIK3CA mutations. The clinicopathological and US characteristics (including two-dimensional and color Doppler US) were investigated. Statistically significant variables were used to build predictive models, then a combined model was developed using the multivariate logistic regression analysis. Univariate and multivariate analyses revealed that calcifications on US was an independent predictor of TP53 mutation (p < 0.05), whereas diameter on US and US type were independent predictors of PIK3CA mutation in breast cancer (all p < 0.05). Meanwhile, Luminal B/Human epidermal growth factor receptor two-positive (HER2+), HER2+/estrogen receptor-negative (ER-), and triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) subtypes were strong predictors of TP53 mutation (odds ratio [OR]=3.13, 3.18, 3.44, respectively, all p < 0.05). HER2+/ER- and TNBC subtypes were negative predictors of PIK3CA mutation (OR=0.223, 0.241, respectively, all p < 0.05). The areas under curves (AUCs) for PIK3CA mutation in the training set increased from 0.553-0.610 to 0.741 in the multivariate model that combined US features and molecular subtype, with a sensitivity and specificity of 80.6% and 58.7%, respectively. The application of the multivariate model in the validation set achieved acceptable discrimination (AUC=0.715). For TP53 mutation, the AUC was 0.653. US is a non-invasive modality to recognize the presence of TP53 and PIK3CA mutation. The models combined with US features and molecular subtype have implications for the practical application of predicting gene mutation for individual decision-making regarding treatment planning.