Ultra-short term wind power forecasting method based on improved VMD

Abstract

A CNN-GRU ultra-short term wind power prediction method based on improved VMD is proposed. Firstly, in the data processing part, according to the irregularity and non-stationary peculiarities of wind power, the variational mode decomposition algorithm is adopted to decompose the original sequence of wind power to reduce the non-stationarity. At the same time, considering that the parameter setting and selection in the variational modal decomposition algorithm are of great significance to the decomposition effect, the improved whale improvement method is adopted to find the best parameters in VMD to avoid the problem of poor decomposition effect caused by artificial setting. Finally, the CNN-GRU and GRU models are simulated and compared on the Matlab platform through the field wind farm data.