Abstract

Recent lung cancer death rates have increased proportionately more rapidly for females than for males. As a result, the ratio of male to female lung cancer death rates has fallen. A population dose-response curve between cigarette consumption and lung cancer is constructed from past smoking patterns and current lung cancer death rates. The curve suggests that the difference between male and female rates is a simple function of the difference in their past cigarette tobacco use, a dose-response effect. The curve also predicts why female lung cancer death rates will rise proportionately more rapidly than male rates into the near future.

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