Abstract

Extreme weather like typhoon leaves significantly terrible influence on the stability of power grid in the coastal area. A high-voltage transmission line includes hundreds of towers and usually stretches hundreds of kilometers. It is not economical to install typhoon monitoring system throughout the transmission line. This paper proposes a typhoon inversion method (TIM) for transmission line which utilizes engineering wind field model and only requires monitoring data from a few towers. The developed method is called YanMeng wind field (YM) with directional mutation genetic algorithm (DMGA) for transmission lines, or YM-DMGA method. DMGA utilizes real-time monitoring data, and improves simulation accuracy of average wind speed by dynamically optimizing two critical parameters <inline-formula xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <tex-math notation="LaTeX">$B$ </tex-math></inline-formula> and <inline-formula xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <tex-math notation="LaTeX">$z_{0}$ </tex-math></inline-formula> in wind field model, which is a great improvement over the traditional YM model relying on historical data. The TIM is mainly composed of three parts, the meteorological monitoring system (MMS), the YM-DMGA model, and the software system. The TIM collects real-time measured wind data of particular monitoring stations through the MMS. Meanwhile, wind data of the whole transmission line is simulated using the YM-DMGA and displayed by the software system. Then the method proposed is verified to be effective in three aspects. First of all, the YM-DMGA method has great enhancement in accuracy, for the coefficient of determination <inline-formula xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"> <tex-math notation="LaTeX">$R_{square}$ </tex-math></inline-formula> increases from 0.811 to 0.986. Secondly, DMGA in the method has quicker convergent speed than typical GA, with fitness converged in the 269 <sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">th</sup> epoch, earlier than that for typical GA, 656 <sup xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink">th</sup> epoch. Lastly, DMGA has better optimal fitness value of 0.6239, bigger than that of typical GA, 0.5891. At the end of the paper, an application of the method to an 110kV double-circuit transmission line is presented to reveal the risk under the impact of the super typhoon Rammasun.

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