Two Years After the Schmallenberg Virus Epidemic in the Netherlands: Does the Virus still Circulate?

Abstract

Two years after the introduction of the Schmallenberg virus in north-western Europe, it is unknown whether the virus is still circulating in countries that were the first to be confronted with it. When the population-level immunity declines in Europe, reintroduction or the re-emergence of SBV in Europe might eventually result in an outbreak of similar magnitude of that seen in 2011-2012. The Netherlands was part of the primary outbreak region of SBV in 2011. The aim of this study was to determine whether SBV circulated amongst dairy herds in the Netherlands in 2013, and if so, to which extent. For this purpose, the presence of SBV-specific antibodies in naive cattle was investigated. A total of 394 dairy farms were sampled between October and December 2013 by collecting five serum samples per herd. Antibodies were detected in 1.1% [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.7-1.7)] of the animals. All seropositive animals were single reactors per herd and were at least 8months old at sampling. As these results were inconclusive in demonstrating freedom of SBV circulation, a more in-depth investigation was initiated to provide more insight: an additional sample of 20 youngstock within the same age category (including the five initially sampled animals) was collected from 17 of the 21 positive herds and tested for SBV-specific antibodies. This resulted in 9 antibody-positive test results of 316 samples. Again, the positive samples were single reactors within the sample obtained from each farm, which is unlikely given the characteristics of SBV. Therefore, assuming the single reactors as false-positive, this survey showed with 95% confidence that the maximum possible prevalence of herds with SBV circulation in the Netherlands was <1% in 2013.