Abstract

The turnabout of air temperature anomalies over East Asia between the first and second halves of winter 2020/21 was examined from a teleconnection perspective with regionally different convective heating anomalies over the Indo-western Pacific sector. In the first half of winter 2020/21, the air temperature over East Asia was lower than normal, accompanied by a pair of anticyclonic and cyclonic anomalies in the upper troposphere southeast of the Tibetan Plateau and north of Japan, respectively. This dipole pattern is newly referred to as the Southeast Asia–Japan (SAJ) pattern in this study, indicating the propagation of Rossby waves caused by enhanced tropical convection over the eastern Indian Ocean toward the South China Sea. In the second half of winter 2020/21, the enhanced convection shifted eastward to the Philippine Sea. The subsequent anticyclonic anomaly changed its position to the south of Japan, which was similar to the western Pacific (WP)-like teleconnection pattern, causing warmer conditions over East Asia. The composite analysis indicated that the anomalous anticyclone over the southeastern Tibetan Plateau corresponding to the SAJ pattern emerged simultaneously with intensification of convection over the South China Sea. Half of the cases of the WP-like pattern have been accompanied by enhanced convection over the Philippine Sea. The different circulation patterns were reproduced by prescribing the heat source over the South China Sea and Philippine Sea to the linear baroclinic model. Moreover, the vorticity budget analysis suggested that the presence of upper-tropospheric convergence of winds to the southeast of the Tibetan Plateau seen in the climatology is conceivable for the in situ localized anomalous circulation constituting the SAJ pattern due to vortex stretching effects.

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