Abstract
Studies in model organisms suggest that epistasis may play an important role in the etiology of complex diseases and traits in humans. With the era of large-scale genome-wide association studies fast approaching, it is important to quantify whether it will be possible to detect interacting loci using realistic sample sizes in humans and to what extent undetected epistasis will adversely affect power to detect association when single-locus approaches are employed. We therefore investigated the power to detect association for an extensive range of two-locus quantitative trait models that incorporated varying degrees of epistasis. We compared the power to detect association using a single-locus model that ignored interaction effects, a full two-locus model that allowed for interactions, and, most important, two two-stage strategies whereby a subset of loci initially identified using single-locus tests were analyzed using the full two-locus model. Despite the penalty introduced by multiple testing, fitting the full two-locus model performed better than single-locus tests for many of the situations considered, particularly when compared with attempts to detect both individual loci. Using a two-stage strategy reduced the computational burden associated with performing an exhaustive two-locus search across the genome but was not as powerful as the exhaustive search when loci interacted. Two-stage approaches also increased the risk of missing interacting loci that contributed little effect at the margins. Based on our extensive simulations, our results suggest that an exhaustive search involving all pairwise combinations of markers across the genome might provide a useful complement to single-locus scans in identifying interacting loci that contribute to moderate proportions of the phenotypic variance.
Highlights
There is growing evidence supporting an important role for epistasis in the etiology of complex traits
Based on our extensive simulations, we demonstrate that an exhaustive two-locus search is more powerful than a single-locus strategy when loci interact for many of the situations considered, and is capable of detecting interacting loci that contribute to moderate proportions of the phenotypic variance using realistic sample sizes
The power to detect both loci using a single-locus strategy was less than the power of the two-locus search—even when there was no epistasis, a result which held with different numbers of markers across the genome
Summary
There is growing evidence supporting an important role for epistasis in the etiology of complex traits. Marchini et al explicitly avoided models with little or no main effects at the margins In these situations, single-locus searches are likely to fail and pairwise or higher-order searches will be necessary in order to detect loci [9,10,11]. A number of recent studies in humans and animals have identified loci that interact significantly but contribute little or no effect at the margins [12,13,14,15,16,17,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26,27,28,29] Such scenarios are challenging and worthy of further investigation since much of the current gene mapping methodology depends on the assumption of non-negligible main effects. If models that exhibit negligible marginal effects are common, this will have significant consequences for how we go about searching for the genetic basis of complex phenotypes
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