Abstract

Biomarker targeted two-stage adaptive design is used increasingly in early-stage clinical trials in a variety of therapeutic areas including oncology, where the sample size of the trial is re-estimated based on the first stage data. In such trials often the sample size is moderate, and so incorporating prior information and using robust methods are desirable.

Highlights

  • Biomarker targeted two-stage adaptive design is used increasingly in early-stage clinical trials in a variety of therapeutic areas including oncology, where the sample size of the trial is re-estimated based on the first stage data

  • Biomarker targeted design is an important step towards precision medicine, which can improve efficiency of randomized clinical trial [1,2]

  • The final sample size re-estimation is based on the positive predict value (PPV), the proportion of true positives among test positives, estimated from the first stage data, deviates slight from a more common adaptive designs [14,15,16]

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Summary

Introduction

Biomarker targeted design is an important step towards precision medicine, which can improve efficiency of randomized clinical trial [1,2]. The two or three stage designs are commonly used in recent phase IIb-IIIa trials comparing treatment vs control. Such sequential monitoring has become an integral part of clinical trial. Gao, Roy, and Tan [12,13] proposed a two-stage adaptive design for biomarker targeted population where only biomarker positive subjects enter the trial study.

Background and the Proposed Method
Concluding Remarks
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