Two Large Earthquakes Registered by the CSES Satellite during Its Earthquake Prediction Practice in China

Abstract

Two large earthquakes, the Maduo MS 7.4 earthquake and the Menyuan MS 6.9 earthquake, have been successfully recorded on the Chinese mainland, since the data of the CSES satellite were put into service for earthquake prediction work on the Chinese mainland at the end of April 2020. Obvious variations in O+ density and electron density were found during our weekly data processing work during 5–11 May 2021 and 28 December 2021–2 January 2022, respectively. Two warnings of impending events around the anomalous areas within two weeks had been reported immediately after the anomaly appearance. The Maduo MS 7.4 earthquake occurred on 22 May 2021 and the Menyuan MS 6.9 earthquake on 8 January 2022, during these two warning periods. More details were revealed after these two large shocks occurred. Ionospheric enhancement took place on 8 May 2021, with a magnitude of 41.6% for O+ density and 22.2% for electron density, a distance of 680 km from the Maduo epicenter, 14 days prior to the event. Before the Menyuan earthquake, ionospheric enhancement took place on 28 December 2021, as well as during its revisiting orbit on 2 January 2022, with a magnitude of 47.3% for O+ density and 38.4% for electron density, an epicentral distance of 120 km, 11 and 6 days prior to this event. The Kp index was also examined to avoid the influence from solar activities. Despite this, accurate earthquake prediction is not possible due to much uncertainty, such as the correct location and magnitude of an impending event. Thus, long-term practice and comprehensive investigation of the seismo-ionospheric influence are necessary in the future.