Two Centuries of Winter Temperature Variability Inferred from Betula ermanii Ring Widths near the Forests/Tundra Ecotone in the Changbai Mountain, China

Abstract

In this study, we constructed a ring-width chronology derived from Betula ermanii (BE) near the transitional zone between forests and tundra within the Changbai Mountain (CBM) region. This chronology was established utilizing 55 cores obtained from 30 trees. Our analysis of growth/climate responses underscores the pivotal role of the mean maximum winter temperature in influencing radial growth. Drawing upon these growth/climate associations, we reconstructed the mean maximum temperature series for December of the preceding year through January of the current year for the years 1787 and 2005 CE, employing a standardized chronology. During the calibration period (1960–2005), the reconstructed series exhibited an explained variance of 36%. This reconstruction provides crucial insights into historical temperature fluctuations within the study area. Our findings indicate that year-to-year temperature variations did not manifest synchronously along the altitude gradient of Changbai Mountain. Notably, the response to recent winter warming exhibited disparities with the altitude on Changbai Mountain. Specifically, the higher altitude range (1950–2000 m a.s.l.) displayed a response to warming around 1960, the mid-altitude range (765–1188 m a.s.l.) responded around 1975, and the lowest altitude (650 m a.s.l.) responded by 1977. Consequently, the paleotemperature research outcomes from Changbai Mountain alone may not adequately characterize climate change in this region. We recommend future high-resolution temperature records be obtained through sampling at various altitudes to enhance the comprehensiveness of our understanding.