Turing instability analysis and parameter identification based on optimal control and statistics method for a rumor propagation system.

Abstract

This study establishes a reaction-diffusion system to capture the dynamics of rumor propagation, considering two possibilities of contact transmission. The sufficient and necessary conditions for a positive equilibrium point are provided, and the Turing instability conditions for this equilibrium point are derived. Furthermore, utilizing variational inequalities, a first-order necessary condition for parameter identification based on optimal control is established. During the numerical simulation process, the correctness of the Turing instability conditions is verified, and optimal control-based parameter identification is applied to the target pattern. Additionally, statistical methods are employed for pattern parameter identification. The identification results demonstrate that optimal control-based parameter identification exhibits higher efficiency and accuracy. Finally, both theories' parameter identification principles are extended to a small-world network, yielding consistent conclusions with continuous space.