Tunnel boring machine performance assessment and prediction applying hybrid artificial intelligence

Abstract

A machine for tunnel boring machine (TBM) is recognized as productive equipment for tunnel construction. A dependable and precise tunnel boring machine’s performance (such as penetration rate (ROP)) prediction could reduce the cost and help choose the suitable construction method. Hence, this research develops new integrated artificial intelligence methods, i.e., biogeography-based multilayer perceptron neural network (BMLP) and biogeography-based support vector regression (BSVR), to forecast TBMPR. Using the biogeography-based optimization (BBO) algorithm aims to improve the developed model’s performance by determining the optimized neuron number of hidden layers for MLP models and the ideal values of the essential variables of SVR method. The results show that advanced methods can productively make a nonlinear relation among the ROP and its forecasters to obtain a satisfying forecast. Amongst the BMLP models with several hidden substrates, BM5L with five hidden substrates could attain the total ranking score (TRS) greatest rate, with root mean squared error (RMSE) and coefficient of determination (R2) equal to 0.017 and 0.9969. Simultaneously, the BSVR was the supreme model because of the fewer RMSE (0.00497 m/hr) and a larger R2 (0.999) compared with BMLP models. Overall, the acquired TRSs show that the BSVR outperforms the BMLP in terms of performance. As a consequence, the BSVR model may have been chosen as the suggested model if it had been able to accurately forecast the observed value even better than BM5L.