Tumor Control Probability and Time-Dose-Response Modeling for Stereotactic Radiosurgery of Uveal Melanoma

Abstract

IntroductionUveal melanoma (UM), while a rare malignancy, stands as the most prevalent intraocular malignancy in adults. Controversies persist regarding the dose dependency of local control (LC) through radiotherapy. This study seeks to elucidate the significance of the prescription dose by employing time-dose response models for UM patients receiving photon-based stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS). Materials and MethodsInclusion criteria comprised UM patients treated between 2005 and 2019. All patients underwent single-fraction SRS. Datapoints were separated into three dose groups, with Kaplan-Meier analysis performed on each group, from which time-dose response models for LC were created at 2, 4, and 7 years using maximum-likelihood fitted logistic models. ResultsOutcomes from 594 patients with 594 UM were used to create time-dose response models. The prescribed doses and the number of patients were as follows: 17-19 Gy (24 patients), 20 Gy (122 patients), 21 Gy (442 patients), and 22 Gy (6 patients). Averaged over all patients and doses, LC rates at 2, 4, and 7 years were 94.4%, 88.2%, and 69.0%, respectively. Time-dose response models for LC demonstrated a dose-dependent effect, showing 2-year LC rates of more than 90% with 20 Gy and 95% with 22 Gy. For four years and a LC of 90%, a dose of approximately 21 Gy was required. After seven years, the 21 Gy prescription dose is predicted to maintain a LC above 70%, sharply declining to less than 60% LC with 19 Gy and less than 40% with 18 Gy. ConclusionIn contrast to prior findings, the time-dose response models for UM undergoing photon-based SRS emphasize the critical role of the prescription dose in achieving lasting LC. The dose selection must be carefully balanced against toxicity risks, considering tumor geometry and individual patient characteristics to tailor treatments accordingly.