Abstract
Large cardamom is an important cash crop for the farmers of Sikkim. This paper estimated the trend, growth, and instability in large cardamom production in Sikkim. The paper also forecasts the area, production,and yields of the crop for the period 2003-2019. The study revealed that there is a positive significant linear trend in the production and yield of large cardamom. The annual growth was also positive for production and yield of large cardamom. The study forecasted that the area under cardamom is to decline by 2030 while the production and yield of the crop was estimated to increase in future. Correlation and regression technique was used to study the effect of climate change on the production of large cardamom during the same period. The study showed that annual rainfall had positive and significant influence on production of the crop. Hence, assured irrigation during the critical phase of crop growth will ensure steady production of the crop.
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