Trends in oral anticoagulant prescription in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation in Flanders and the impact of switching patients from vitamin K antagonists to DOACS in terms of the burden caused by complications of the disease: a registry-based study

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ABSTRACT Context Since the introduction of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) for the treatment of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (Afib), oral anticoagulants (OACs) prescription has evolved. Aim We aim first to explore the OACs prescription behaviour in Flanders from 2002 to 2019 before exploring the impact of switching patients from vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) to DOACs in terms of the burden caused by stroke as a complication of non-valvular Afib. Methods Data were obtained from INTEGO, a Flemish, general practice-based morbidity registration network. Comprised patients had at least one visit to their GP per year between 2002 and 2019 and a follow-up of at least 1 year after the diagnosis of Afib. Public prices were retrieved from the Belgian Centre for Pharmacotherapeutic Information (BCFI) and the National Institute for Health and Disability Insurance (RIZIV/ INAMI) sites. The number of Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs) was based on the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) literature. The calculation of the Number Needed to Switch (NNSw) was the basis for conducting cost-utility analyses accounting for the global benefit in terms of the cost of prevented stroke/DALY and the cost of switching Flemish ≥ 65 years patients from VKAs to DOACs in two scenarios. Results Increased DOAC use has been observed since 2012. The incremental cost effectiveness ratios (ICERs) yielded 553 to 824 €/DALY of prevented stroke. Conclusion In this registry-based study, we found a significant positive trend in OAC use in Flanders between 2002 and 2019. Switching to DOACs seems cost-effective compared to a threshold of 20000€/DALY.