Trend and associated factors of cesarean section rate in Ethiopia: Evidence from 2000-2019 Ethiopia demographic and health survey data.

Abstract

The world health organization considers cesarean section (CS) prevalence of less than 5% suggests an unmet need. On the other hand, a prevalence of more than 15% may pose to risk to mother and child, however, access to CS in a resource-limited country like Ethiopia was much lower than the aforementioned level, Therefore, this was the first study to determine the trend of CS, and factors that influence it. This was done based on the five Ethiopia Demographic and Health Surveys. Trend analysis was done separately for rural and urban. The significance of the trend was assessed using the Extended Mantel-Haenszel chi-square test. The factors on CS delivery were identified based on DHS 2016 data. A multi-level logistic regression analysis technique was used to identify the factors associated with cesarean section delivery. The analysis was adjusted for the different individual- and community-level factors affecting cesarean section delivery. Data analysis was conducted using STATA 14.1 software. The rate of cesarean section increased from 5.1% in 1995 to 16% in 2019 in an urban area and 0.001 in 1995 to 3% in a rural area, the overall increment of CS rate was 0.7% in 1995 to 2019 at 6%. The odds of cesarean section were higher among 25-34 years (AOR = 2.79; 95% CI: 1.92, 4.07) and 34-49 years (AOR = 5.23;95% CI: 2.85,9.59), among those educated at primary school level (AOR = 1.94; 95% CI: 1.23,3.11), secondary education (AOR = 2.01; 95% CI: 1.17, 3.56) and higher education (AOR = 4.12; 95% CI: 2.33-7.29)with multiple pregnancies (AOR = 11.12; 95% CI: 5.37, 23.), with obesity (AOR = 1.73; 95% CI: 1.22, 2.45), living in an urban area (AOR = 2.28; /95% CI: 1.35-3.88), and increased with the number of ANC visit of 1-3 and 4th(AOR = 2.26; 95% CI: 1.12, 4.58), (AOR = 3.34; 95% CI: 1.12, 4.58), respectively. The odds of cesarean section are lower among parity of 2-4 children (AOR = 0.54; 95% CI: 0 .37, 0.80) and greater than four birth order (AOR = 0.42;95% CI: 0.21,0.84). In Ethiopia, the CS rate is below the WHO recommended level in both urban and rural areas, thus, intervention efforts need to be prioritized for women living in a rural area, empowering women's education, encouraging co-services such as ANC usage could all help to address the current problem.