Trend Analysis of Terrorist Attacks in India and Pakistan Based on Big Data and Geographic Analysis

Abstract

India and Pakistan are two important countries of China’s Belt and Road Initiative, especially in the constructions of China-Pakistan Economic Corridor and Bangladesh-China-India-Myanmar Economic Corridor. As the major political bodies in South Asia, the two countries have gone through conflicts since the partition of India in 1947. The large scale violence and terrorist attacks happened a lot which posed a severe threat to the security and stability of the region and the world. To provide theoretical support for decision-making of relevant departments, the data of terrorist attacks in India and Pakistan from 2008 to 2018 were collected and processed in this paper by using Multiple logistic regression and K-methods clustering. The conclusion can be drawn from the analysis is that 1) some link may already exist between Lashkare- Taiba and Jaish-e-Mohammed; 2) the Naxalites have become the biggest threat to India's national security; 3) the demarcation line between terrorist organizations in Pakistan is clear; 4) special purposes could be found in anonymous terrorist attacks, and 5) new methods may be used in terrorist attacks in the future.